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Vehicle proliferation control
Written By idontspam - 16 December, 2009
Bangalore Analysis Transportation Private transport car car
Seeking a restrictive policy on the registration of vehicles
Bangalore has registered 14% growth of vehicles against the 8% average in other metros... It is, therefore, necessary that a restrictive policy on registration of new vehicles in Bangalore is formulated
I agree with CiSTUP and dont believe it makes sense to stop the registration in Bangalore alone. How do you make it more expensive to drive compared to catching public transport? Unless some private vehicles can get off trunk roads and be supplemented by more frequent Public transport in its space, it will be hard to move anywhere towards a solution. We need to atleast try something different.
What are the options? Can a 20 % reduction of private vehicles in the next year be replaced by a 5% increase in public transport? Isnt is possible to mimic Metro till it comes up using longer Janti Vahanas on dedicated lanes in lieu of congestion charging on those roads?
COMMENTS
Some things that can reduce new vehicle registration
santsub - 16 December, 2009 - 18:09
Things like Registration renewal every year (Involves Money)
INsurance increase if they have offensive driving history
Insurance based on the car or vehicle make year and model.
Ofcourse all this will only work when there is less corruption in the civic agencies that will execute these projects.
idontspam - 16 December, 2009 - 19:21
Is vehicle registration the issue or plying of the same on the street? Should we control ownership or usage of the vehicles on the streets? Is the aim to have less vehicles overall or have less density on the streets?
s_yajaman - 17 December, 2009 - 12:24
IDS,
Based on historical growth rates, I estimate Bangalore's population to be some 7.5 million by then. So 10 million vehicles might not happen. These things will slow down.
Our politicians react only when there is a crisis. And there will be a massive one in the next few years. The centre of Bangalore will reach a state of gridlock almost every day. Then they will react.
The best solution is the Metro Phase I and II. A mode of public transport that is independent of traffic conditions on the road surface means one has a choice to skip the jams.
Other options are a petrol tax of Rs.10/l. Or annual usage fees depending on whether yours is a weekend/off-peak car or a regular car; different coloured plates can help distinguish.
You might also want to google "IEA 2020 or IEA 2030". The IEA forecasts that the majority of the oil that we will need to use in 2030 will come from fields that are not yet discovered or not yet developed. This has serious implications for personal transport. We of course have our heads in the sand and hope something will rescue us.
Srivathsa
idontspam - 17 December, 2009 - 12:57
These things will slow down.
Nevertheless, now we are talking a degrowth to be able to sustain sanity on the roads. Regardless of population we either build road capacity to match vehicles or have vehicles to match road capacity. As I have suggested we can continue to increase road capacity to a certain level but the vehicles have to degrow to meet up somewhere in the middle. We cant have the dog chasing the tail.
So if we were to include a policy statement in the Transportation policy what would targets be for both road capacity and vehicle volume on the street?
I point to this exercise. 50% reduction is possible due to congestion charging. Which means we can match future capacity right away!!! I have a poll out here as well.
idontspam - 16 December, 2009 - 15:57
I made some simple assumptions and extrapolations. I get the below graph.
If we build up our carrying capacity gradually by 5 lakh vehicles every year, form the current 10 lakhs to 25 lakhs by 2011 and maintain that level. Assuming a 5% yearly volume reduction from current levels starting immediately it will take us 8 years to match the carrying capacity. This is including any increase in road space sharing Public transport vehicle count. If we did nothing we would be 103 Lakh vehicles by 2017 at 14% growth.
What should we do to get 5% reduction in Private vehicle YoY?
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