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BBMP Elections - Who could be in the driver’s seat?
Written By psaram42 - 28 March, 2010
Bangalore governance BBMP Elections urban development Analysis Election Commission exit polls Criminalization Politics
When there is a low turn out the party in power looses. So BJP may be facing the music. This is the conclusion of the TV News-9 program that had in the days evening live. This was done by “CVOTER” for the TV-9 channel. Mr. Prakash, Narayan swamy of JDS BJP and Cong were in the debate along with two more participants, whose name I could not get.
Out of 229 seats the magic number to win is 150. The forecast is
- BJP 89-91
- Cong 68-76
- JDS 14-22
- Other 17-25
So is it that Operation Lotus part II will be enacted?
The exit polls gave the following result. Politics
- 34% BJP
- 33% Congress
- 11 JD(S)
- 3 Other
- Refused to divulge
The program was interesting as a debate was going on between BJP Cong JDS and two citizens of repute. Criminalization of politics was discussed. All the parties do want to win elections. However, normally parties would like to have people of repute and high moral ground as their candidates. However that alone may not make the candidate
Expenditure in elections is always more than allowed 5L as disclosed by Mr. Narayan swamy. There is a loop hole that party can spend any amount on contestant. Enormous amounts are being spent and shown as party expense. There is a flaw in the act. It excludes the money spent by party on the candidate from election expenses. This was done by Indira Gandhi.
Higher moral vs investment idea was discussed, as money is no guaranty for winning.
It was agreed that best government so far was SMK government.
- HDK 9%
- BSY 17%
- SMK 39%
SMK has proved his high caliber statesmanship. SMK has proved himself beyond politics. JDS is poor in governance. The fact is SMK has done wonders for Bangalore. But the fact is SMK lost the very next election. What could be the Reason? [It comes to my point that he has spoiled Bangalore exactly as in the case of Mumbai.] He like many in Bangalore has gained because of the properties that many have made in Bangalore. However he had the guts to bite the bullet.
It was Devegowda who was responsible for BBMP. But still JDS has anti Bangalore image because Devegowda calls him self “Mannina maga”. It is hard to get the brownie points both in Rural and city context. SMK is secular image. No coalition with JDS
Honey moon is over for BJP as years have passed by its rule. BJP is committed to give more powers to BBMP. There was no reason to delay BBMP elections as BJP had won in Hubli and Mysore.
COMMENTS
we could do without such people
murali772 - 30 March, 2010 - 12:22
Chandrasekhar was supposedly the one largely responsible for the useless National College fly-over. We could perhaps do without such megalomanics.
idontspam - 28 March, 2010 - 17:32
When there is a low turn out the party in power looses
The forecast was 45% voting. Isnt that high enough for the ruling party? Quite decent turnout, its most usually like 25% in urban areas.
There were issues like missing voter names in some parts of Bangalore, I heard Murali spewing venom @ EC on TV9. Personally I forgot to change my name to ward 19 where I moved recently so I voted in ward 35, around 25 people ahead of me. Done in 30 mins.
Candidate names were in Kannada. My Kannada is slower than my English, which means I spent precious minutes reading the names (small font, in dim light of the dingy school building makes it harder) while the officials thought I didnt know how to vote and kept insisting I press the button. One person even got up to show me. Lucky it was a popular symbol I was going for just pressed it not waiting to confirm the name against the symbol. Since I switched wards last moment I didnt get to know who it was. So I voted party & not candidate, which I hate to do. I pity the independents & the first timers. The fingerprint people will definitely skip the unknown and go for the familiar symbols.
silkboard - 29 March, 2010 - 02:23
Went at about 9.15 am, a local high school.
Before hand, I had checked with a few neighbours on the candidates - effort was to find the least criminal spirited one amongst the lot.
5 people ahead of me in the gent's queue, 2 ladies before my wife in the ladies queue.
Voting done in 5 minutes flat, as easy as it gets.
My prediction - BJP majority. 45% is not bad. And most people I asked were thinking - its better to have same party rule city as the state. But yeah, I don't know how many of the people I asked actually ended up voting.
I am impressed - 45% is amazing
Rithesh - 29 March, 2010 - 02:43
I was expecting a very low turn out - when all the "please please vote" campaigns during central and state elections didnt do much to push ppl to get out and vote - i had predicted a turn out of 30-35%.
Now, should we read it as a good sign or is it because of the faulty voter lists (read it bogus votes) that we have this number? We might never get an answer to that.
Anyways, brace yourself for more power cuts and water problems. I for one hope Congress makes it - the lesser of the evils i say. We have had enough of Kata and Ashok ruining this city.
YEDIYUR - 29 March, 2010 - 06:38
Aas rightly said there are 198 ward seats and there are 28 assembly seats,5 MP seats(One being Rajyasabha MP) , 12 MLC seats.. Which makes total of around 243 seats..
In order to rule the BBMP one must aim to get 122 seats
Out of those 45 setas already elected, BJP has 27 SEATS and opposition has 17 Seats..
And hence Its necessary for BJP to win 95 wards and NOT 150 As suggested.If BJP wins around 89 seats it can come to power along with indpendents
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